Goverment control effect of the spread of influenza among Korea cities
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Due to the recent emergence of H5N1 virus, the modelling of
pandemic influenza has become a relevant issue. Here we present
an SEAITR model formulated to simulate a possible outbreak in Korea.
We model the spread of the disease in each city by a system of
deterministic differential equations. The susceptible, exposed,
infected, recovery people are assumed to mix randomly within a city.
We assume that the nonrandom mixing of the population among the cities
between the major cities is captured in the model by the all species traffic
travel. We also assume that people continue to travel when they are infectious,
but treating people don't travel. This assumption restricts the current
model to specific diseases, such as influenza, where people are asymptomatic
or only mildly ill while infected. When one infected people outbreak, after
some day, government control disease. We have simulated the implementation of
different control measures. We have considered strategies composed of one or
more of the two following interventions: (i) mobility limitation, (ii) treat
and isolation of symptomatic people.
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